GreenRoc now on the EU radar after presentation on Amitsoq at the Greenland Business Mission. Watch the interview here.
Kongo: Really good post & strongly recommend.
It’s all about mitigating the risk of doing business in the Congo. It’s outside of the Chinese sphere of influence, as it is also the Middle East’s. This is where Brazil(&Vale) become so important, being one of Congo's primary trading partners, and the close relationship between Den & Lula, and most importantly Brazil’s Vale being a powerful entity, with the expertise(and now the cash), to develop Zanaga.
With Vale being the “front man” it opens up the possibility of Middle East/Chinese money getting involved as a coalition strong enough to counter-weight the risk of “doing business in the Congo?
Zanaga also offers a chance for both Brazil & Vale to redeem their reputations in West Africa?
Gla.
Https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=n1-ovZeO1zA&pp=ygUPemFuYWdhIGlyb24gb3Jl
Good morning Andrew,
May I ask your observations on the “going concern” issue in the recently published annual results.
The shard facility with the option to issue up-to 18 million shares, since being announced has had a notable negative short term effect on the share price. My concern is that if the share price was to continue its current trajectory, and fall below 6p, then the issuance of 18 million shares would not raise enough capital to meet the obligations of the loan+interest due to Glencore by years end.
It is noted that you use an illustration price of 13.3p, where as of close of Friday we were trading at 7.69p.
Was the option of a “standard” fundraiser at a fixed discount to the 30 day average share price discussed?, What were the reasons this option were not taken?
It is also noted that the board has taken the decision to “launch a partnership with Chinese iron ore technical expert engineering firm ("Chinese EPC Partner") as part of a two stage optimsation process of the Zanaga 30Mtpa staged development project”. Is this action prudent, given the proposed undertaking will apply further strain on our finances.
Does this further heighten the risk of the company not being able to meet its obligations at year end?
Although little was mentioned in the annual report of the positive global backdrop, being the Saudis proposing large investment in future “green steel” initiatives , which would require high grade fe iron ore, of which we are blessed with. Also the proposed new port being built in the republic of Congo, to name but a few of the recent boons. I am holding off investing further until the above mentioned concerns have been mitigated.
Regards
Sent from my iPhone
Tech- good points.
-I think of the word mate, more of a necessity/lubricant(brown envelope).
-as pointed out the placing may never happen(in full), just a prerequisite to being able to issue the”going concern” statement.
-also another possibility is the need of cash to tie up the loose ends on a sale(options, outstanding wages, obligations, ect)
-as for the rolling of the loan, it may well happen yet(in due course if necessary).
all IMO
For mates rates.
Hummingbird all over again(they raised just prior to their big jump in SP, allowing “mates” to acquire 17% of the company at the bottom).
I expect the purpose of the facility is to allow “friends” to accumulate a holding, which would not have otherwise been possible in a share with a very low free float.
I will stick my neck out and say this share trades to 30p+ within 3 months of this post.
Gla.
Ext- possible, but wouldn’t that technically amount to Glencore paying 48.26% of the loan+interest back to themselves through self inflicted dilution of their stake? Trivial perhaps to a behemoth like Glencore, but definitely unsustainable if this method were to be continually used over subsequent years(they would in time, effectively allow themselves to be diluted to nothing).
When the loan got announced last year, I concluded(perhaps wrongly/TWT) that it acted as a countdown to a deal being concluded(or the loan could be rolled over ,if close to being concluded).
I had assumed that the loan+interest would be paid back via proceeds of the sale(and I still think it will).
Anyway I hadn’t thought of Glencore being so benevolent!
In regards to my question on “conflict of interest”
I meant in the legality of the of the loan?
Also the loan is due to be paid back by years end/HOW?
I think a deal gets done before year end.
IMO & I’m gonna keep stacking these Golden tickets.
Gla.
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