Looks like we’ll be taken out by Bybrook on the cheap… at least Majid has put an early marker down by stating company is worth at least 20p. Not sure I’d be happy with 20p though
Friend who is a barrister was talking about a case where the judge got “pinged” and whole case had to be dismissed and restarted at a later date with a new jury etc etc
$11.05 boe break even according to latest presentation - but as Tony alluded to break even can be highly subjective as to what that figure includes or not
RE: New WHI update - fair value estimate 29p16 Aug 2021 14:31
Dividend is based on fcf and not noi
Though yet unclear whether fcf at operational level or corporate level? Could make a big difference this year with all of the corporate activity and costs.
Dividend may end up being much less than anticipated!
You are completely underestimating how difficult it would be for I3e to navigate the Loan note holders and borrow $40m.
Even if they were able to get permission from note holders and then find a bank to lend $40m in subordinated debt to a junior oiler then can you imagine how high the interest rate charges would be? 15-20% plus a large upfront fee I’d imagine.
Then, what happens if oil drops back in to the 30s? I3e would possibly go the way of many Canadian oilers before it and be cash flow insolvent. Best to stay debt free and highly operationally mobile. Debt can come at a later date for me.
Yes, it’s annoying after we rose up to 16p to be bought back to sub 11p by eps and dps will both be higher post deal - Short term pain for long term gain.
Well never know about whether access to debt was there or not but I suspect would have been tricky with loan notes outstanding.