"Avoid," Tempus said.17 Aug 2016 07:32
Reasoning below - but could IMO be good reason to buy.
Bovis Homes should hold the course on its current strategy but management will have to be patient given investors' caution and shareholders should avoid the stock, The Times's Tempus said.
Unlike some of its rivals, the homebuilder, which is focused on the southeast, is intent on continuing to grow.
Indeed, it reckons it was one of only a few builders which more than doubled production throughout the past financial downturn, having bought land in 2009 at depressed prices.
That strategy means it has lower margins than its peers and pushes less excess cash their way, hence the lower dividend yield on offer.
Management at Bovis does seem to have grown a tad more cautious however. A handful of agreements to buy land have been renegotiated in the aftermath of the referendum vote. Bovis may also miss its target for site openings this year.
It has also raised the expected rate of return on land acquired before Brexit with a view to cushioning any adverse impact from a downturn in the market.
As well, for the first time in many years land purchases are running ahead of completions.
"All this seems sensible because, given the traditionally quiet summer market, it is too soon to forecast the future direction of the market. I suspect, though, that those higher-yielding stocks will outperform," the tipster explained.