Posted in: commodities-and-mining
RE: OIL CHAT9 Jan 2009 00:46
I agree with pretty much most of your post and indeed nearly posted the same re supply/demand (I type a lot but don't actually post..a good tool I learned some time ago with company EMail).
I heard the word depression re the car industry used for the first time today (radio4) and they emphasised they meant a depressed industry not a recessed one. (They said that Britain is ill equipped to deal with a depression which could hit Britain far harder than it did in the 30s). In the real world, people I know are finding it very hard indeed and those that have companies are relying on their cash to get through. If PB's wheelbarrow scenario plays out then it will be dire indeed.
Re oil/gas they are a finite resource and I agree with you regarding manipulation re supply/demand...there is so much manipulation these days. I like CT7's approach on oil; it made sense to a numptie like me! (By the way I'm a numptie and proud of it! I was once married to someone with a mensa IQ -enough said).
If the next few months throw us into a deeper recession/depression then everything will freefall again (stating the obvious and being proud of it). I see posts saying this is more or less the bottom but I believe there is more to come yet(fjp73's opinions would be good here as he saw it coming and it nearly cost him his job..he reminds me of a younger PB..and would be another good source/analyser as to when the upside is due).
Re alternative energy sources if there are any scientists on here please explain why we are still running cars on technonolgy that is over 100 years old. Surely the time for hydrogen cars is now. I'm an avid New Scientist reader and await the restart of the LHC at Cern. Bring it on; lets find some alternatives.
Re gas reserves I think I saw the UK relies on 5% of it's energy resources from Russia and as such does not have weeks of reserves..rather days. Germany etc have weeks of reserves but I think they are more dependent on the Ukraine pipeline.
I post on SSE sometimes but not many frequent those boards much! Would you be interested in opening a discussion on another board re alternative energy, viability of wind farms, green power etc? I know CT7 thinks that's the future..any takers? Anyone know for example who is looking to develop hydrogen outlets? I know Mercedes are launching their hydrogen cars in the next few years so they must be sourcing/developing outlet/ suppliers.
One thing's for sure for the conspiracy theorists this current situation is certainly weening us off oil isn't it? Global warmimg could be behind us or at least deflected for now. On another off-topic note have you heard of Moore's Law? It says that by 2017 microprocessor circuits cannot get any smaller without burning out and that unless we switch to carbon/gas/liquid circuits there will be another economic slow down! (Just to cheer you up!!)