RE: Time for some simple maths.23 Aug 2019 10:01
Grewber - thanks for the info, which is interesting. I only said "oil - in simple terms" because, as far as I am aware, JOG only has reserves of oil, not gas. The recent evidence of price per boe I referred to is Cairns' farm out of a 10% interest in the 80mmboe Nova Field (off the coast of Norway) to Dyas for $59.5m. There's a FDP in place but they're only at tender stage for the infrastucture.
Whichever way one looks at the situation here, JOG is fundamentally undervalued. I've been a lot more relaxed about my investment in JOG (which is significant to me) since discovered reserves in such volume unexpectedly arrived. As I read things, JOG has plenty of options on the development funding front. There's no doubt in my mind JOG's senior team are very skilled at what they do and that JOG is very well advised. I've always thought that BMO taking on JOG as a client was significant, because it showed the high regard they must have for what is a company with a market cap that's normally a long way below their radar. The don't take on anyone!! And Vicary Gibbs's appointment as CFO was equally significant, given what he's noted for being skilled at achieving.
For general info, this was taken from the further explanations given in this morning's RNS, below the announcement itself:
" The acreage is contiguous with the previously announced 31st Supplementary Offshore Licensing Round awards both in the Greater Buchan Area ("GBA") containing the Buchan and J2 discoveries and the Capri, Chamonix, Courchevel and Zermatt prospects and the Licence P2170 (Blocks 20/5b and 21/1d) acreage that contains the Verbier oil discovery, in which JOG holds an 18% working interest alongside operator, Equinor UK Limited ("Equinor") (70%), and CIECO V&C (UK) Limited (12%).
Together with its interest in the Verbier discovery and previous GBA acreage awards, the addition of Block 21/2a to its portfolio provides the Company a significant opportunity to operate a major new area development of in excess of 120 million barrels of oil equivalent ("mmboe") of discovered mean recoverable resources net to JOG.............
..............JOG has already commenced work on a Field Development Plan ("FDP") seeking to deliver a JOG-operated area hub development in line with the OGA's Maximising Economic Recovery of UK petroleum ("MER UK") strategy. JOG is fully funded to an FDP. This area hub will be planned to incorporate the redevelopment of the Buchan oil field, together with the development of the J2 oil discovery and potentially the Glenn and Verbier oil discoveries as well as other discovered and yet-to-be-found resources in the GBA. First oil, subject to funding, is targeted for 2024. JOG will evaluate and determine the optimal sustainable development plan, designed to deliver phased and extended plateau production."
JOG has to be an attractive proposition to a bigger player at any stage along the line. The price just has to be right.
dyor