RE: Oh and re Smickster and Bozi14 May 2023 20:18
Looks like Bobs baseball hasn’t swung quite as fast as we’d have all hoped for. I have no idea what the hold up is and would only be guessing. Let’s hope it’s just a delay due to them maybe wanting more assurance from Ecuador govt - only my view but due-dil on the blockcave should be done by now as they would have done some of that prior to their investment surely !
Obviously they have to settle on a price that gets Mather and his old pals vote - as I’d expect any bid to be approved rather than speculative.
I’ve long since held the view that BHP have lost interest but hope to be proved wrong - could see them come in with a bid especially if Jiangxi open low, I’m praying there may be other interested parties but that would just be speculation
You mention no exodus of investors, it’s my belief a good few PI’s have moved on or at least significantly sold down. As for institutions BHP / Newcrest etc in fact anyone with large holdings would struggle to exit without crashing the price, and they can bide their time as it’s a drop in the ocean to most of them - BHP could write their entire investment off from just a few days company wide profits, of course none will want to do that but my point is it’s not such a big deal for them.
Jiangxi are in at 17p (from memory) so if we tumble from here it’s no big deal for them - they could just buy more to lower their average or offer a lower price in the future if things become desperate …..hence the need to lower costs to last longer maybe ?
Warren Irwin has mentioned that the Chinese buying assets in the west is becoming harder so hopefully grabbing an asset like Cascabel will be appealing and maybe give some impetus to get it done - however doesn’t look or feel like they are rushing right now
I’m sure as time ticks by and things become more strained that tensions here will become more tested, but with SOLG without much of a plan B, sale not happening as quickly as we hoped for and SOLG going down the minimal comms route - only news that has happened will be RNS’d and because I don’t think they are doing much there won’t be much happening to RNS all we are left with is the hope that Cascabel gets sold
Shame they created such a binary scenario - my hunch is they thought Bob would hit a home run rather swiftly - seems like the Jiangxi pitchers may have thrown a few swerve balls
Just have to hope that deal lands