RE: Early Q31 Aug 2018 00:55
1cagney, I just begrudge giving MMs the profit, having said that, I have been offering above bid for some time now, but nothing gives. I have a decent position here as it stands so not overly concerned, just being greedy.
As always I remain sceptical with every word of TORs mouth. However, pending the close of equity consenting the picture around appraisal should become clearer. A multi well appraisal programme de-risking upwards of a possible billion + barrels won't go unnoticed by the market.
Post appraisal assuming a success case PVR BR share approximately 280 MMBOE net audited 2P reserves This means reserves, net to BR is 280 million barrels of oil equivalent.
40% of 280 mmboe = 112 mmboe.
For the sake of round figures, lets say $10 profit on each barrel.
112 mmboe x $10 = $112b (£853m)
Conservative £853m x 60% (discount) = £341m
Given the warrants at 12p rep 10% Co,( I wouldn't be surprised to see PVRs share of BR taken out by the Chinese in some capacity in around the £300m mark) giving APEC a healthy return on each angle.., TOR and the gang their brucy incentive bonus and PVR cash to develop the rest of the portfolio.
Back of a fag pack approx 50p + range, 2 years.* IMO
LW, I'm Out of HUR, still see the potential for upside, just hit my target and happy to take profit.