short term dip..16 Jun 2022 14:31
The SP performance in recent week is not about the company per se' in my view. It is an over-reaction in the markets to the gold price and the media push that rising rates are bad for gold. This is course would be true is the real rate was positive which, of course it is not. So even when the 10yr UST note spikes to 3.49% the real rate is still -5%. Gold has yet to react because market commentators hang on to powell's every word with future rate raises. My own view remains that his analytics of the inflation problem is just rhetoric and that real negative interests will remain and be as embedded as they have been since 2008. Even is the 10yr UST hits 5% and bankrupts the US Government and causes a recession the real rate will still be negative on the supply inflation problem for some time. Hence why 65% of my PF is now gold related and raising on every fall in the spot price. Too much negative sentiment on this stock in my view, yes it has been a busted flush in many ways for LTHs but I think it will be a success in the medium term. I might be in the minority here but the fall in US housing figures and builds just reported backs up my view that powell will have to turnabout and gold will does what it should do.. re-rate up. GLA