RE: PE Ratios23 Sep 2013 13:33
"per flowing barrel", boe/d, is another valuation method, depends on the netback (profit) though, but useful as a sanity check.
Typical vales are (or were) $30,000 per boed for gassy equivalent barrels up to $150,000 per boed for low-risk large plays. I don't have any current values, but let's say $70,000$/boed
9800 * 70,000 / 1.6 (fx) = GBP428m
But what about this 1.9B share count divisor that has been used, no way there will be no dilution, especially if things drag on development wise at RLR, let alone TOM actually building something.
Anyway, 428m / 2B shares = 21p. So another ball-park figure somewhat above current prices, but expect some considerable dilution will reduce this.
Development-wise, best thing is TOMCo spend nothing (bar JORC completion) until RLR de-risk the process and thus we get a higher sp when money is raised, but directors would then have difficulty justifying their salaries!
I guess having more resource (leases) would be good, but as we have 20(?) years life at 8900 rate no one should be too worried yet, perhaps they could buy some 3yr to 4yr lease options rather than outright purchases, that would give much more bang for the buck now and time for de-risking to raise the sp.