RE: Billions25 Mar 2025 07:10
Investment and Financing
The project’s scale requires substantial capital. While exact figures for Nour aren’t fully public, initial estimates from Chariot and partners suggest a $3-5 billion investment for the first phase, with the full 10 GW potentially reaching $10-15 billion. This aligns with broader estimates for Mauritania’s green hydrogen ambitions, where total investment across multiple projects could hit $25-40 billion by 2050. Funding will likely blend private capital (e.g., from Chariot and TotalEnergies via TE H2), government backing, and international support, such as the EU’s Global Gateway initiative, which has earmarked Mauritania as a key hydrogen partner. The recently approved Green Hydrogen Bill (circa March 2025) enhances attractiveness by offering tax incentives—VAT and export tax exemptions, reduced import duties, and a progressive corporate tax starting at 15%—lowering the financial burden and risk for investors.
### Revenue Potential
Revenue streams stem from both domestic use and exports. Domestically, hydrogen will fuel green steel production, tapping into Mauritania’s iron ore industry (a top global exporter). Converting iron ore to steel with green hydrogen could add $1-2 billion annually to GDP, given steel’s higher value and growing demand for low-carbon products. For exports, green ammonia—a hydrogen derivative—is the focus, targeting Europe via the deep-sea port of Nouadhibou. Europe’s hydrogen demand could reach 4.6 million tons by 2030, with prices around $3-5/kg for imported green hydrogen or $400-600/ton for ammonia. If Nour scales to 1-2 million tons annually (feasible with 10 GW), export revenues could exceed $3-5 billion yearly, bolstered by off-take agreements