RE: Dividend Suspended!2 Nov 2022 17:14
Thank you for your comments, Guitarsolo. As we know, the currency hedging is in place to ensure that asset sales in USD can be converted to Euros at a known exchange rate, which can give a degree of certainty as to the Euro value of any disposals. Princess reports its income in Euros.
However, as Partners Group will know, currency hedging for future assets sales doesn't work if there are no assets sales! All that is left is a currency contract with a positive or negative value, totally dependent on the vagaries of currency markets. To my mind this is unforgivable. They knew that private equity deal activity was slowing down some time ago. They are paid to manage such risks or at least advise investors of any possible future risks, and I see no evidence of this in the annual and interim reports.
This could be just the beginning of the value destruction, as the announcement today does not give any detail on how much currency in total has been hedged, and the maturity date/s on the contract/s. If the currency contracts are huge, and margin calls cannot be fulfilled, the forex counterparties will become unobliging creditors to Princess, and it could be "goodbye and goodnight". Similar happened to Alpha Pyrenees Property Trust, where the (mis)managers wiped out the business with big forex bets that went against them.
Make no mistake, we are in the danger zone here.