RE: Pragmatism, patience, politics, property need, provision17 Oct 2023 11:58
Rylidan, it's got nothing to do with shorters, it's the general sentiment towards the company. It operates in a real estate market where the demand for its properties is highly constrained and concentrated to care providers, which has a negative impact on the company in terms of the balance of power. If a care provider can't pay its rent, it's not a simple matter of evicting them and re-letting a property in the open market to normalise the income. Instead, as can be seen, when a care provider fails to pay rent SOHO has little option but to tolerate it and suffer the negative impact on income.
Furthermore, this real estate sector is not subject to open market pricing for rent; it is controlled indirectly by the government, and so it is significantly exposed to central government budget and regulatory risk. This is not so favourable in the current climate, where government and local authorities are seeking to control costs and mitigate inflation.
My opinion is that as a longer term investment this is a buy at current levels, but let's get real and understand the risks the market is currently pricing in.