RE: HE1 Share price!!14 Jul 2021 15:24
one of our posters put this together..
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just to repost again so there is no ambiguity: http://www.helium-one.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/21-06-23-Hannam.pdf
Tai risked - 4p, unrisked 31p
Mbumi risked - 6p, unrisked 37p
Itumbula risked 5p, unrisked 29p
Kasuku risked 7p, unrisked 28p
+3p (from various)
The valuation range should be 21p - 52p according to HP's valuation for Tai drill period based on 4% He concentration .
Is Tai be all and end all? lets look again at the sp valuation from HP above.
If Tai fails with all targets:
Based on HP valuation, sp should be at or around 21p if all Tai targets are dusters e.g (6p+5p+7p+3p) for the remaining risked targets in Rukwa. The range then is 21- 97p, the higher end gives you the potential if the next targets are a success.
If we hit just one target at Tai: sp =52p (31p + 6p+5p+7p+3p) e.g Tai unrisked and the rest risked. range then is 52p-128p.
and you call build the sp estimates from the HP table for any scenario you can think of which I found helpful. Obviously sentiments not included so give or take a few pence top and bottom.
Basin contains He (confirmed) so there is no ambiguity, but where is it reservoired? We have 9 targets +1 contingency well to help us answer that. Will we hit it? i think we have a good chance based on fundamentals (science bit that is) but until the drill bit hits it, it hasn't hit it. I would have prefered 3D seismic but lets park that. (Seisprocessor is better on the subject than me so I follow the knowledge)
so dice it, and risk it as you please, its your own money. Just remember its a marathon pace. :) If you dont like HP's table, do your own valuation, I did mine.
Please please DYOR