RE: Discussion on Drill Progression22 Jul 2021 02:00
@noob, I dont have clue about drilling speeds, but then again DME's experts were way out on well 4, and after drilling 3 others.
SeisPro suggested 40m/d early on, thats 30 days to drill 1200m which is a month per deepest well, as scheduled.
The estimates of 30m/d over 30 days is 900m, 1100m at the same rate is another 7 days....
So that makes you think we are almost there.....???
The 1st week(12th-19th)was slow just 55m plus cementing conductor casing...
Then, something to think about was the mud video and posters saying they could see bubbles, 6th July.
That was followed by an RNS 12th, bubbles and side track..then casing side track in video..
I don't believe that RNS 12th states a time & date for the show. But the first show was given with a time and date.
Makes me think they may have seen the show on 6th, and the side track was all good by 12th, which was cased on the 13th..
Directors Talk Interview Tues 13th July said side track was being done.
So in total maybe another 7/8 days lost, roughly 6th -13th..
Say the side track at 480m was cased to 500m, then we have maybe 600m, at most 700m to go from the 13th,...
We also know they drilled from 55m-70m in 1.5 hours, so 10m/h
Estimate 19th-30th averaged roughly 48-53m per day
Estimate 19th-6th 27-30m/d..
So I dont have a clue how fast they are going now, but it could be ....