RE: Telegram group7 Mar 2021 17:43
Lost the bottom part of that message:
DOES COPL HAVE ANY OTHER POSSIBLE REVENUE STREAMS?
The Atomic deal came as a huge and very welcome surprise to the shareholders. The main reason that we had been holding was for the expectation that COPL’s interest in OLP226, a large offshore asset in Nigeria, being developed.
1 - PSR is assumed - no evidence to state it will not be agreed. It has been delayed several times however most shareholders would agree that it is likely to still occur.
2 - Oil is found already, next to a producing prolific field - drill planned is appraisal not exploration
3 - Essar want a rapid ROI to date on $70m exploration spend - can spend a lot, drilling costs very low and would want to capitalise on that asap - COPL are carried
4 - Nigeria have much to gain from their oil assets getting to production.
With 60k bopd assumed production
COPL share at 15% (5% with option to increase)
Oil at $40/b
tax 70%
lifting costs $20/b
This equals $19.4m net profit p.a
mc $331m
Note: Oil is currently approx. $64 per barrel.