RE: Cynders - an apology due?27 Aug 2021 11:32
Thanks Mirasol. I called it from day 1.
That license block is a dead duck. It's been drilled historically with limited success. They decided to try an pin the tail on the donkey with a speculative drill without any seismic. It's not Texas! You cannot just pop a hole in the ground and hit oil.
The key factor for me was AME, they had UKOG contribute 100% of an initial $5m to drill. And that did not include contingency costs, seismic, EWT, etc, etc, etc. Such an obvious play by AME, they threw a sucker punch and UKOG bought it. What does that say about consciousness leadership by SS? It says that he was happy to use PI cash and take a sucker punch on the chin (of PI's) so long as he was getting paid his monthly pittance of a salary.
It seems convenient that the drill bit was lost, the open offer almost certainly came after UKOG knew about that drill issue, and PI's who bought into the near £500k via open offer saw losses of 25% in the space of a couple of days. The CEO cares not for that loss (£125k) as he still gets paid.
Rampers will ramp all day long and those who bought in will continue to heap praise on the CEO and the company prospects. But you do need to look at this company and the CEO very carefully.
1. CEO does not do investor calls or interviews
2. CEO and the board refuse to buy shares despite a formal RNS showing their obligation to do so on a monthly basis.
3. BB is nothing more than abandonment costs (or considerable costs for a sidetrack), but given that the Kimmeridge is written up as being sub-commercial in UKOG planning applications, then you can see that it will be the former.
4. HH is not going to be anything other than a single producer site and unless they get approvals (and CASH) to convert HH2z, then the asset level profits will be significantly hindered by water disposal charges.
5. Loxley will require CASH and that will introduce massive dilution. £6m minimum in my opinion, so there goes another 25% of the SP n today's rate. Robin of Loxley (aka Robin Hood) stole from the rich to give to the poor, I guess SS is the Sheriff of Nottingham in this particular analogy.
6. Turkey is a dead duck, always was going to be the case. Seismic will take months, then it will be another massive CASH call, more dilution and a SP hit.
7. The chairman is a chocolate teapot, he has not taken the necessary action to address the shortfalls of the CEO and should have acted to have the CEO replaced. But, he's on a nice packet.
8. UKOG accounts show payments to partners, some of which were/are run by folks on the board. Talk about taking extra back-handers. Feels similar to Boris J saying that he paid the £200k to renovate his living accommodate at no10, it's slimeball all day long.
Enough said.
The above is 100% my opinion, and as this is a discussion board, I am sharing my opinion openly. I hold no shares and have no intention to buy. Furthermore, I hold no short position or CFD's in relation to UKOG.