RE: Wrong22 Apr 2024 12:55
The next difficulty is not the true change, as it was mostly in the pre-halving period, so the real sense of network drop will be seen on the subsequent difficulty change, which will be around 2 weeks away. However tentatively I think we only get a 5% to 10% drop based on current rates of block production.
However the 1BTC plus fees just now are the unknown, if they stay at an average of 1BTC, then instead of 50% miner revenue post halving, it's more like 60-65% revenue - or ~20% more revenue than the market was expecting.
The market hasn't priced these elevated fees in, but whether they persist remains to be seen.
Now just need this HK ETF to go live to lift demand.