RE: Floor may be sub 20p22 Mar 2020 21:21
I've just been watching Sunday Supplement on SkySports and Henry Winter said that his sources within the NHS thinks it is wishful thinking to believe football (and I guess all sports) will return before the middle of October.
Who knows if that prediction is right but given that in Italy 650 people died yesterday alone and 60,000 people have now caught Coronavirus in Italy so far, it is clearly spreading rapidly around the world and self isolating is not going to work in stopping this as we all still have to go to work, the supermarket, be around family, etc.
If we have no sport for 7 months, well there is absolutely no point investing now into any bookmakers, this has simply got to drop a long way from here.
Looking at the annual accounts published in Feb 2020, the net assets of William Hill was 320m pounds, which is now very close to the market cap (the stock markets' value of the company). There are 874m shares in issue. What will William Hill's losses be this year? Looking at the accounts last year bank loans, overdrafts and bonds cost the company 46.6m pounds. Finance costs were 7m pounds. Add to that wages, leases, pension payments, overheads, etc. Without all the revenue that WMH is missing out on to absorb these costs who knows what the losses for this year will be, surely somewhere between 100m-150m? If the net assets fall to around 150m pounds, if the stock market was to value WMH at that price the share price would fall to around 18p.
20 pence should be one's target price IMO. But like you say 2reincarnated, the floor may be lower. Time will tell.