RE: Iron22 Dec 2020 10:02
I'm back for now but trying to find reasons to why LTH's blame management. One of my biggest problems is that LTH's keep blaming management but don't explain what they did wrong. I have not looked at before Toral and the Iron project. However, BB keeps banging on about 10 years ago when FRC raised money and many placements for the exploration. There were 2 events, the first was that 10 years ago iron was at record prices and that it would go to the moon. China could not get enough of it like today but RIO and BHP started a stupid price war to take out the small operators and increased supply at the same time as demand for iron fell of a cliff the result being iron crashed from over $200 to $40 rendering FRC's project worthless and due to the cost of maintenance and the money required for Toral it needed to be let go for $1,000. The 2 main directors left but they at least negotiated the option to purchase Toral. The other event was for this period too many directors paying themselves too much but the reason for the dilution/SP fall was down to the collapse of the resources. Following on to Toral I read an RNS placement in 2018 where LR states that the £1,000,000 to fund the feasibility study for a mining licences (I think this is where Shed has said before that they should have raised more). However, at the time of the placement zinc was at $3,500 per tonne and since the purchase it was up over 50%. With what we had in the ground and the price of our resources it probably was worth going for the mining licence so I can understand where LR was coming from. Nevertheless, the price of our resources crashed and by June 2020 zinc was at $1,900 and at that price we would need to show even more resources while finishing all the other milestones to go for the mining licence to make sure it is to be a viable mine.
Since, june zinc is up 50% , we have I think a 40% increase in resources (there should be more) , we know how the resources will be extracted, the cost of the capex should be paid for within 4 years at resources around 10% lower than current price and in 18 months we should be going for a mining licence. At this stage LR can't say we will not need more funding before that date but I am confident we won't. LR even said they raised a lot more than they asked for/needed in August (they do listen Shed), the warrants can be exercised and the EU money. Additionally, if you read the RNS's for the last 4 years most of the work has been done to get a BFS. So I do disagree with BB's speculation of a placement in 6 months time because that's all it is speculation with no facts. I will not predict the share price/company value again, I will keep that to myself. Nevertheless, I do believe we are well undervalued and in the new year there might be a Tr1. The price of the resources in an AIM mining company is everything and no marketing or bull can cover that up. If the price of the resources crash we are doomed like in June 2016. Let's hope th