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So the newly created mid term bearish trend continues. Something is bugging N4P and the long silence while in Japan could have been a good first indicator. - Now the Sp will likely retrace to 22.60p - there will be a good chance for a technical rebound - and then everyone needs to reassess this company

(All of the bearish forecast is of course obsolete as soon as the 29p wall is indeed climbed.)

Marco, the repeaded technical bounce at a certain line often announces a change in trend. After months and months of up-trend, its only normal to start a new down-trend. N4P was NOT able to climb through 30ish. Not through 30.40 nor the important 32p, which would have marked the next upleg. Why not? Were not many insiders buying? I dont know. I dont mind. All I know is that the vital 30ish was NOT climbed. Something has held back the Sp from climbing through 30`s. Probably the fact that Nigel - and his club of insider shareholders - knew that Japan did not bring instant results. Something that the majority on here expected. I'm sure Mr. Ramper AIM Chaos has many questions to answer these days :))

--------- "Less than 0.25% of the share capital in dilution hardly represents much downward price pressure..." Last autumn during the 52-week peak, the smallest hint of those warrants was enough to trigger profit taking. Nobody expected that they suddenly need cash. Eversince its mostly about warrants that you read in the RNS. While many 11p newbie-buyers were lead to assume that 12.50p was only the beginning, and that by Christmas 2017 this would go to 30p and 40p (if the license was granted). It was granted. But the Sp collapsed and went to as low as 7.70p, and later through four months of sideaways, which proves that Nov 2017 was a key bearish turning point for Asiamet, for whatever odd reason. But lets just agree at this bit: ARS has performed very very poorly during four months! Something very odd for a well researched opportunity share with JP Morgan on board. ----------------------------- "I agree that the beutong licence was priced in at the peak 12p but nobody could have know that at the time,even insiders..." To begin with: After a twofold in summer to 6ish and 7ish, the Sp started to become overheated. The rise continued and created a threefold, reaching 11 and 12p. If you and me can notice that this might have peaked after a threefold, you as the company owner will know it too. The final push came because insiders were 90% sure that the license will be granted by the Indonesian Gov. ...at a time when the majority of PI's believed that the license would be the one and only game changer and carry this to 30 and 40p. Wrong! After that threefold at 12ish, many insiders were sure that the Sp would NOT rise further for a very long time, which is why none of them increased their holding substantially. (They might do now and bring fresh capital in here from their gains on the main market :)) (Is this why ARS has been kept that low...?)

Like said, tomorrow will likely see a rebound after the overdone technical correction. - Short term rise to 27.50 / 28p and 28.75 - the Sp will likely bounce away at 28.75p and resume this newly created down-trend. - IMHO new uptrend only if the massive 29p wall is climbed (OldSchool, please note two weeks ago on a Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning I sold my main stake as from 34p and 32p down. Eversince I came back only with smaller punts. N4P made several attempts for a rebound with a fair chance to climb that 30ish barrier, but the Sp kept bouncing off. Now we know why.)

Just take the fact of a 52-week Sp high, which company knew it was the peak of 2017. ...At a time when this got boiled in the chat rooms and many PIs only came in ftom 12ish looking for the mentoned twofold. Add the fact that someone had the very clever idea to start excercising options. ...At a time when company directors were not tired to say that Asiamet will not need to raise capital from shareholders. Add the fact that eversince Novmber peak, the main RNS they released were about their warrants. ...At a time when company directors were creating big hopes about the upcoming mining license (which they knew was already priced in at 12ish last year). Add the fact that something very odd has held back the share price during four months. ...At a time when most main market shares continued to add to their long term up-trend. Also note that slowly the tide is turning for the main market, which are ripe for two or three further bearish waves sometimes in the next months. How will mini shares make it through a 10 / 15 or 24 months of bear market.

Todays correction has been overdone, so that we can expect a technical recovery to somewhat 27.50ish. But the Sp could bounce off that line again and continue this new and ongoing down-trend to reconnect with the long term support around 22p

Fastfood, you could be right. Its because the main markets are giving more and more signals for a large change in trend. As for the DOW, several key support lines have been breached according to Cnbc. Will look to get back in here as from May or June (or if the Sp climbs the 1,000p barrier again :))

The next steps ahead: - new bull signal if 12.60 is climbed (confirmed at 12.80) - long term bullish if 13 is breached

Each to their own, Daisan! Yes, some things can be TA explained. But not everything. Last year November when the majority on this bb were 90% sure about a substantial rise as from 12p up (remember Finncairns prediction of 40p?), company insiders knew that the Sp has peaked out for a long while. And this is why the used the opportunity to exercise more and more options and extract money. This is what held back ARS for so many months. --------- - 4.02% institutional ownership puts ARS on a list of companies that are not likely exposed to spikes from institutional trading. - 5.17% insider ownership has been linked to better alignment between management and shareholders. - Private companies, with a stake of 10.38%, who are primarily invested because of strategic and capital gain interests. - 80.42% in ARS is held by the general public. With this size of ownership, retail investors can collectively play a role in major company policies that affect shareholders returns.

One problem is that a large number of newbie PIs were betting on "Japan" as a sure thing game changer, as it was posted by the N4P twitter-ramper community :)) Not one word from Nigel about his Japan negotiations. And suddenly Nigel prefers to finance everything himself. (Cashing-in big time as from 34p down, while many newbie investors only started buying 30ish.) ------------- Agree. Is great news, should be moving up! Surprised this hasn't flown of the shelves...

"...Duke, chartist on Vox markets says the target price for ARS is around 17.60 pence providing that it holds above the 11.3 pence level. Starts around 4.15 minutes into the podcast." Well then, the trigger has been triggered. IMO it looks like Asiamet still wants some more (of their own) people on board here before the journey begins. Or did JP Morgan asked them to wait until they can buy another 7% stake? - What we do know for a fact is that ARS has seen a nasty flush-out last November when the Sp broke from 12ish down to 7ish, on the back of euphorically smiling managers on PI-investors as well as company directors shaking hands at the Mining & Finance. - This could explain why the Sp is somehow being held back since more than four months below the magic 11. I can only hope that Asiamet insiders are finally finally set, and have all the shares they wanted.

Yupp! And that 940ish was also my initial target. But as always with rights issue some people use the opportunity to sell before that. Fastfood, whats your prediction for April/May?

You've asked for it! :)) Ask 12.75 @Costello, are you following me around the LSE by any chance? Over from Wres...? Many "newbies" incl me are invested since ladt summer/autumn and that 6ish and 7ish upside breakout. Off we go - and good luck! Expect another attempt at 13p tomorrow. Ha ha, Asiamet financial allies have always more difficulties to hold this back and do not make the Sp spike. ARS is one of the few opportunity shares that did not see those 30% intraday spkes which can be normal on AIM. Something odd odd odd has held this back as low as eight Pence, during FOUR months!

The next bull alert is in the making IMHO, as soon as the 13p wall is climbed. This signals an immediate rise to 14.40p. (High: 12.87)

...and here is our 940ish retracement target. The initial rise was simply too fast. Chart picture now sees a healthy price correction. If Asiamet reaches the mentioned 14ish and 19ish target, I will buy back my good old PFG, never mind the rights issue! --------------- 28-02-2018 "If the Sp stays below 1,000 at the closing (lets say 995p) this could see the mentioned retrace to 940p"

Great potential ! At the same time noone is immune against D.Trumps stupi di ty. Sp neatly and nicely above the important 11p line, and even holding 11.50p

Your the man, TheBaker! Lucky b astrd actually! With the 13p line touched for the first time in ages, we can embrace that 14.35p target next week. Of course "Trump" maintains his party pooper image... Now lets see if some of this good luck spills over to TheTraveller. Good man!

The main markets US & UK and Europe look deep red today, so this Asian lady has held up quite well today. Everything still at that 12ish line. Lets see if there is decent news coverage this weekend as well as bounce early next week.

This is only a basic overview, as it might not include private holders who act for II's. "Mindanao" for instance wrote that he represents an Asian investment fund that holds several million shares, probably based in a tax-free region. If he is not listed amongst the II's investors like JP Morgan, he must be amongst the 80% private holders or amongst the 10.38% company holdings. --------- - 4.02% institutional ownership puts ARS on a list of companies that are not likely exposed to spikes from institutional trading. - 5.17% insider ownership has been linked to better alignment between management and shareholders. - 80.42% in ARS is held by the general public. With this size of ownership, retail investors can collectively play a role in major company policies that affect shareholders returns. - Private companies, with a stake of 10.38%, who are primarily invested because of strategic and capital gain interests.