RE: zaza4 Sep 2019 23:38
The two cases (- a) FRR against Hope on breach of Fiduciary duties and b) Hope against FRR for damages -), though bearing some connection to the issue of the default (i.e.which for us has been about trying to get Block 12 safe), are, as far as I am aware, not technically connected to the loan interest repayment default. As far as I can make out, the ADR process relates to at least the Fiduciary case and perhaps also to the Hope counter claim. Susbequently, ADR process then isn't connected to the ddefault. The most important thing for us is have we got Block 12 safe (i.e. the matter of the default). Always thought that if DoS confirmed (and guess can be confirmed via loan or production or JV or mix of any of these), means we are safe from Hope. But the matter of arbitration throws it up in the air again. So given Block 12 is still not confirmed as safe, now with GG arbitration, there's nothing they can still report. Block 12 needs to fullsy secured or deal agreed before we will hear anything.
So by all this, it is possible that we can hear some time this year, if/once GG arbitration is sorted. And if we have been doing well with exploration and production, JVs/ Farm-ins/outs, that, along with political support, could be strongly in our favour.
What I'd add here is that Block 12 may largely have been secured from Hope (and my guess is that we have succeeded in this), meaning that there probably isn't much value in FRR and Hope pushing those cases to death and that ADR may provide a way to put it to bed. We also don't know the nature and extent of any deals with majors or what funding has been secured. This means we could be doing better than we think but are left to work out via long range triangulation and guesswork (clouded by a fear of the worst in the absence of information).
Hang in there folks!