RE: Ge2 Oct 2018 21:58
Don't know the sector inside out, indeed, far from it. But have done a lot of research on GE over the past year (was trying to get a sense of how serous they were).
Power Division is struggling and are therefore wanting to turn it around. Purchase of Alstom at near $13billion in total forces them to work on this turnaround. Coal is a necessary evil in the developing world. Large scale industrialization can't occur without. Many of those developing world countries have yet to properly utilise their coal deposits - and seems clear they want to. Its cheap and untapped. GE super-critical tech in turn limiting environmental issues.
In the case of Ncondezi, it's an integrated project that will bring them an initial market for their tech, equipment and infrastructure, and expertise; and then bring them year-on-year revenues. Then add the potential to scale up, from the current proposed 300MW to possibly 1800MW, with coal available to them at what it costs for them to extract.
The NPV on this project must be staggering (all the way from 300MW to 1800MW).
As far as I can tell, GE badly need this. And clearly, by what we hear about the overall JDA process, they remain involved with a view to making it a reality. Nothing I've heard, including the good research that others have done, suggests otherwise.