Iran Bombing and Metal Prices28 Feb 2026 13:54
Whilst the loss of life is an unfortunate reality of the needed and justified , in my opinion, of the bombinh if Iran - it is worth looking at how this may impact metal prices.
Gold , Yes, it’s going to gap up and spike on the headlines, but history shows that unless this turns into a full-blown regional escalation, Gold will likely drop back down once the initial shock wears off. It’s a "panic trade" that usually cools quickly - it will probably gap uo on opening to about $5400-$5500 monday.
Here is where it get interesting though -The Real Supply Shock will be Copper & Zinc. This is where it gets interesting AND serious. Iran is a Top 10 global producer of both Zinc and Copper. If their industrial hubs or export routes are hit, we aren't just looking at a "fear spike"—we are looking at a mahoosive global supply deficit. These are metals the world actually uses every day for electronics and infrastructure.
Also relevant to Panther metals could be the Magnesium impact - Iran is also a Top 10 producer of magnesium compounds. It is a critical "defense metal" used for lightweight military aircraft, missiles, and incendiary munitions. Between the energy costs to produce it and the potential for targeted strikes on their IMIDRO facilities, Magnesium prices could go mahooosively parabolic.
The Bottom Line: Gold is for the quick headline flip if brave enough (not for me), but if you want to play the long-term supply disruption, watch the industrial and military metals. If the Strait of Hormuz gets messy, the shortage in these minerals will be felt for months or years - plus it will focus on the Americans and West trying to secure their own suopplies.
For ref' - but double check as below is just a quick search:
Copper: Iran holds about 5% of the world's reserves (roughly 54 million tonnes).
Zinc: Iran is the 6th largest producer in the world.
Magnesium: Iran is the 10th largest producer of magnesium compounds globally.
Would you like me to look up the current market prices for these metals so you can add "Before vs. After" numbers to your post?
Whilst I do not necessary want to profit from war, the facts are that Panther metals could fill a small gao with Zinc and Copper and a bigger gap with Magnesium.
Hoping that the US DoD have got Panthers number