bigdazza21 May 2018 23:58
Welcome and good luck. We were at .88 in October cos there was a whiff of good commercial quality gas which could go straight into the grid but no figures as frac appears not to have given sufficient flow due to the Russians using large amounts of haematite when drilling there for oil. They have now returned to UD2 for a bigger frac to improve porosity and flow.
Also in October we still had months and months of YA preference shares which were converted and sold month after month up to April this year. Now finished. Funding offered to pay off final amount or we can pay monthly from revenue or CEO may pay it himself. Massive confidence in future of FRR.
In October the 3 oil wells were in the planning stage, hoping to start year end or beginning of this year. Procurement of equipment and service providers meant the campaign started late January. Funds were raised via 2 Primary Bids. one at .58 and the other at .452 for cost of the 3 oil well campaign and return to UD2.
We now know from today's and other recent RNS's that T45 and Dino2, Zones 14 and 15 only are naturally flowing 585 bopd and that Zone 9 and possibly Zone 13 (which scared the team with gas kick) will be fracked to increase daily output. They are testing zones carefully to provide accurate flow rates from the new zones drilled/sidetracked to gather important information.
CEO took part in fund raise at .58 to the tune of �1.5m from memory and invested a further �126k a few days ago at .48 and .49. Dustin Aro, VP Drilling and Well Stimulation increased his holding mid March at .465.
WH Ireland put a fair value per share of .74 and increased it to .82 on T45 initial results and likely that needs updated and increased with flow results from Dino 2.
We are awaiting full results (extended flow testing) of T45 and Dino 2, drill completion and well logging results of T39. We are now producing oil which should give revenue in excess of $10m per annum with further zones plus T39 to add soon and no tax to pay until cost recovery of spend over 20 years, $400m recouped. This should provide very good icashflow figures to borrow for next oil well Niko 1, following which wells in 2019 should be self-funding if this is the route chosen. UD2 results could land any day and the s/p is approximately half of what it was in October which makes no sense whatsoever.
We do not know if there will be a farmout, JV or sale of any assets but lots of speculation there.
Following writing this it is even more nonsensical that the s/p is where it is today.
To answer your question, your guess is as good as anybody's on here. GLA