RE: New Vantage!!14 Feb 2024 11:54
Remember this in the Q3 earnings call?
Didn't happen did it?
'In line with the announcement in July, our objective is to repay the second lien in full. In November we will be redeeming 50% of the outstanding second lien notes and beyond that, we intend to undertake a fulsome refinancing exercise during the first half of 2024.'
Banks will be making saure they get they pay day for any refinancing of £1.2bn in debt. Early repayment charges, high interest rate to reflect the risk, AML are losing hundreds of millions per year.
Bond holders want their 10.5%.
How can a company losing even say £200m per year get better financing terms on a 1.2bn loan which costs them well over 120m per annum in interest they can't afford?
Banks aint dumb, AML are in a considerably worse condition than when Stroll took over (same financials, spunking cash up against a wall, but the macro economy is worse now than the 0% interest rates the original bonds were negotiated at).
They'll need a huge cash balance as collateral, guess who foots the bill for that? Shareholders.
The only time AML is a buy, right after a fundraise.