RE: Aston Martin warns on profits as tariffs and weak demand hit volumes6 Oct 2025 10:34
Https://seekingalpha.com/news/4501896-aston-martin-stock-drops-10-on-profit-warning-tariff-headwinds
Aston Martin (OTCPK:AMGDF) shares fell roughly 10% on Monday after the luxury automaker issued a profit warning, flagging persistent tariff-related challenges.
The company now expects its full-year 2025 adjusted EBIT to fall below the lower end of market expectations and has scrapped plans for positive free cash flow in the second half, prompting an immediate review of spending.
The company now expects total wholesale volumes in FY 2025 to decline by a mid-high single-digit percentage when compared to the prior year.
Additionally, the company confirms that it expects Valhalla deliveries to commence in Q4 2025, with 150 deliveries forecast in the period.
The group delivered 1,430 wholesale units in Q3 2025, below the previous guidance of being broadly similar to the prior year period (Q3 2024: 1,641). The shortfall was due to weaker-than-expected demand, including in both North America, with the continuing tariff impact, and APAC (including greater China), the company said.
The global macroeconomic environment facing the industry remains challenging for the company, and this includes uncertainties over the economic impact of U.S. tariffs and the implementation of the quota mechanism.
Furthermore, changes to China's ultra-luxury car taxes and the increased potential for supply chain pressures, particularly following the recent cyber incident at a major UK automotive manufacturer, add to the headwinds Aston Martin (OTCPK:AMGDF) faces.
Q4 2025 is expected to deliver improved sequential financial performance supported by increased core volumes driven by new derivatives in addition to the accretive financial contribution from the initial deliveries of Valhalla.
For UK automotive manufacturers, the introduction of a U.S. tariff quota mechanism adds a degree of complexity and limits the group's ability to accurately forecast for this financial year end and, potentially, quarterly from 2026 onwards, Aston Martin (OTCPK:AMGDF) added.