Why Isn't Gold $80 p/oz Higher?21 Apr 2022 01:25
So with the "soft pegging" of the Rouble to gold (at 5,000 per gram), & the current Dollar:Rouble exchange rate of less than 1:77, gold should be (you could argue) around $2,035 right now.
The linking of the Rouble to gold (whilst not a "backing") certainly saw an immediate appreciation of the Rouble, which then tracked the gold / Rouble / Dollar exchange rate very closely for weeks, but now seems to have broken down over recent days, with the gold price diverging (lower) from what the gold/Rouble peg would suggest.
Anyone want to speculate why? You'd have thought that arbitrage opportunities would prevent any significant divergence. For example, right now you could buy gold at $1,955 p/oz, sell it to the Russian Central Bank for (approx) 155,500 Roubles, which you could then exchange for (approx) $2,035, or your currency of choice) & pocket the difference.
Granted, not really practical for most here, but surely this is a playground that the big boys want to play games in.