RE: November11 Nov 2023 08:27
Thank you Bella. I know AS has spoken in the past about publlishing the Phase 1a data in a peer review journal but circumstances have changed since he said that. Personally, I can't see Avacta publishing the promised Phase 1a data as a peer reviewed paper for a couple of reasons.
Firstly, timewise, it wouldn't be possible to do so before the end of the year as it takes about 6 months to go the peer review publishing route and AS has committed to publishing before the end of the year. The optics for Avacta would look very bad if the first publication of Phase 1a data was in Q2 of next year as AS will have known the realistic publishing timelines when he stated that deadline - and, more importantly, serious investors will know that he would have known that and was therefore promising something unattainable.
Secondly, what will be published will be interim data - a progress report, if you like - as it will contain results from C1-C6 only. Peer review will wait, I think, until the C7 data can be included, so I'd say that would be sometime around midyear next year.
Other options to present the data are at a conference or self-publishing.
A conference presentation with Q&A in front of an audience of peers takes time to get organised (prepared, submitted and accepted) so I think we are at the absolute limit or past the limit, even for late reporting data.
A conference poster again takes time to get included in the conference schedule but is a possibility - again, incredibly tight deadline for doing that.
Self-publishing is not as vain as it might sound and is, I think a definite possibility for the data from C1-C6, the reason being that Avacta will have prepared and QC'd all the data for presentation to the FDA and any acceptance of a fortnightly dosing regimen by the FDA will be done after considering the 3-weekly data so far collated and presented. Thus, my belief (and it is only my belief) is that publication of the C1-C6 data will be announced by RNS and appear on the Avacta website just after, if not at the same time as, the announcement of the go ahead for the fortnightly dosing study - with an explicit link being made between the two events.
The purpose of publishing the trial data afterall is for interested parties (pharma companies and specialist investment funds) to see the data so far and look through it all themselves (doing their own peer review of it), knowing that the FDA has been all over it already and effectively 'approved' it all.