RE: Very modest EBITDA valuation9 Apr 2024 09:30
Herbert enters Dragons Den,
We are owners of a depleted gas field, that had a good plan of action 3 years ago, we knew the problems.
We had historic info to help us develop a forward plan with good design and Capex.
We are now in production, have been for nearly 2 years.
We invite you to invest £1m for 1% of the company, because we believe it is worth £100m +
Peter: Soooo lets look at the development timeline, did you stick to your plan A ?? ermmm NOPE,,, or leader guffed it trying short cuts, it took 4 X longer to drill a simple sidetrack and cost ermmmm a LOT !!!
Ok, did you at least achieve your target ??? Ermmmm well we did ermmm manage to drill the hole, bit shorter than planned, ermmm like 70% shorter and a bit gunked up too.
OK, so did you at least bring it all in on budget ?? Ermmmm nahhhhh we ripped investors a new bumhole, by throwing out another 3.7 BILLION shares to this point, Ohhhh and we had to consolidate some ermmmm really bad debt, and a crappy hedgy thing with a really bad royalty thingy attached.
OK !! so how much have you had through your hands todate since starting this project, including revenues ? Ermmmm probbbbbbabbbbly about £70m give or take !!!
OK, and the debt ?? did you clear it with all this money swilling around ?? ermmmm no not really, we kept it going, now just a mere £20m owed over the next 6 years.
OK,,, AND how much do you plan to spend on forward NEEDED capex ?? ermmmmmm shedloads,,, probably another £15-20m to upgrade compressor/booster, run new velocity string/s, drill a couple wells etc etc.
OK, and will the do something good for production & revenues ??? ermmmm probably not, at best it might maintain current levels for a few years, at least until the loan is paid off !!
Soooooooo OK,,, and this great royalty deal from the past, is that closed off ??? nahhhh sorry, they want their cream !!
OK !!! so looking at the big picture, I see NOWT in this for me !!! just risk and almost nailed on NO reward.... I'M OUT !!!
You get the drift Ocelot !!!