RE: Had a chat with Scott18 Oct 2023 07:14
SM - I think he'll be OK but dissenting PIs will make it closer than it ought to be.
I don't have the major shareholders to hand but let's assume that Mather and his interests, Sangha, Irwin and many of the Cornerstone investors vote for him. That could secure him 25-30%. He'll then need some of the chunky institutions to join his cause and plenty of PIs.
That's on the basis that BHP and Newmont vote against, which the latter may not do.
I get people want their takeover and like I say this has consumed many for a while now, but a year that has been needed to reset the business and complete much of the thankless work doesn't appear to be the one to remove him. Ecuador again has political certainty and for me he has a clear run now until the AGM in Dec 2024.