Exceptional Value14 Nov 2017 12:09
It's dropped another 10p so I've picked up another 2250 shares.
I can't believe the value this share is currently offering!
For a combined market cap of just $200 million (R1 + YuMe at the current price / post-merger ratio mix), you have the opportunity to buy a combined $490 million per year revenue business (R1 + YuMe + Rad1 + Perk), with expected net profits of $49 million (10%) post consolidation.
And the company is expected to yield such profits from the cost synergies of combining the businesses into one combined full-stack programmatic platform without taking much growth into account. It's a pretty sound rationale to base an extraction of profit from (combine the businesses into one programmatic platform, synergise costs and extract profit ).
And all this is currently on sale for just $200 million! IMO, this share is currently offering exceptional value.
There is an emotion argument coming from the deramper camp that goes something like this 'Oh, the company hasn't performed during the last 3 years, therefore it won't perform in the future and now it's spent a lot of it's cash and will only have $20 Million left in the bank, it's therefore a busted flush, therefore I'm going to sell my stake in the company and you should too' without taking the time to understand what is actually happening now. It's an Eeyore mindset driven by emotional sentiment and fear. Nothing more.
If RTHM execute the merger and cost synergy plan then Numis's 12 month price target of 720p will be achieved.
Granted, there is a risk in R1 not being able to execute upon the consolidation plan, but this risk is more than priced into the current share price. I also think the BoD have tried to mitigate this risk further by making Ted Hastings CEO. Ted started his career as an auditor with Deloitte which gives him expertise in Financial Risk Management. You also have Eric Singer coming over from YuMe (Chairman) to oversea and make sure this profitability actually takes place - He also has form having already done it with YuMe.
"Value investing is a strategy of transferring wealth from the impatient to the patient" Warren Buffet