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The war is a stalemate now because its Rasputitsa, mud season.
The Ukrainian counteroffensive will start when the ground is dry enough.
Negatiations will start after that.
Bear in mind that Ruzzians can't even take Bakhumt.
the Ruzzians started this war because they did not respect the Budapest Memorandum
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum
The war will be over this year, one way or another.
US Presidential election next year. Biden won't want the distraction and Zelensky won't want to risk another Kompromised Republican getting in.
Rasputitsa (mud season) almost over - then some Shock & Awe from the tooled up, highly motivated Ukrainians against their badly fed, badly led opponents. What a mismatch, I predict a first round KO.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/382695/uk-foodbank-users/
In 2021/22 approximately 2.17 million people used a foodbank
If Sherlock Homes were to investigate the Nord Stream incident, he would start by saying....
'Once you eliminate the impossible, whatever remains, no matter how improbable, must be the truth.'
Database - The Sauidis should be worried - oil & gas will be phased out over the next decade or two. Then their population will go berzerk. Same for Russia, that's why they're doing this land grab now, whilst they still "had" some leverage over Europe. All they've done is accelerate our transition to renewables. A terrible miscalculation.