Extensions and delays are the order of the day on AIM, so I'd imagine we'll get an RNS on Monday stating that talks are still on going.
I'd also imagine that if HIG retracted the offer, then the share price will drop back down to low 30s. Which is ridiculous of course, because DX should be valued much higher than 48.5p.
A short-term dip (on paper), but worth more for holders in the long-term.
I bought some more today while there is little attention and a gentle upward pressure.
I re-read the Interims from Sept 22 and Sept 23 and the FY results from March, and it convinced me to add to my holding :)
BOD statements in the HYs and FYs, as well as in the recent IMC presentation, are understated but very optimistic about achieving rapid growth without further dilution, or possibly even without touching the $10m credit facility.
This is where research and patience pays off. TRX is at the inflection point from loss-making to generating a profit. Once TRX can really spell out their growth in their HY and FY Reports (coming v soon), and market sentiment drags itself out of the gutter, this will fly.
BOD members put in £300,000 in July at 32-33p. I am happy with that.
I'd rather they didn't buy the dip, because it creates the possibility they may negatively word an RNS to take advantage financially. I would rather there be an incentive to get the sp back to break even for them.
Someone (or some-thing) is certainly taking advantage of the dip though...
It feels like the bottom has been reached and SCE is now (finally) on the upswing. The market probably won't like the today's bare numbers (and the market isn't really forward looking at the moment), so we might need to wait for the next TU/or FY results/significant contract wins, before seeing any real improvement in the sp.
SCE won't need cash for keeping the lights on, but may need to raise to fund the expansion. Hopefully this can be done at a later date either through loans or at least waiting for a recovery in the sp before raising.
Encouraging signs for me are Janus Henderson increasing their stake recently (at 27p) and management putting a lot of their own money in at 32-33p.
The company looks well placed for future growth, but are currently in a consolidation phase. Costs are rising and eating into the high margins at present. ACSO have a very large headcount now, bringing in-house the Digisoft developers and the other 2 acquisitions.
If the price drops a lot now, it would be a good time to buy in if you're prepared to wait 6 months for the FY results, which I expect will start to show some of the fruits of their H1 efforts.
The cross-selling potential is already showing benefits, and will only increase imo.
The FY results statement in April mentioned that TST are looking into international expansion (2 unnamed countries were mentioned as being near-term targets, while being aware that these things can take time), so most likely this Calor Ireland deal is one of them.
The phrase "major system upgrade" is pleasing :)
It is also great to read in the 100+ Logistics press release, they mentioned "secondary benefits" of using Touchstar's systems, and the TST team are "developing one or two bespoke enhancements."
This is great for 2 reasons: firstly, the additional team has expertise to customise their offerings to suit clients' needs, and secondly these probably have high margins.
But it's no wonder IIs are taking positions (Chris Mills at Harwood, and Dowgate Wealth have both increased their stakes within the past month) and stock is hard to find. A gem of AIM.
I managed a couple more purchases this morning, had to pay full offer 1.7p, but I have a full position here now and I can sit back and wait.
Once the Ladders Free payments come off the books, June 2024, the metrics of the bottom line will improve further and React will be producing so much free cash. The board is very smart, so I'd expect possible M&A with the spare cash or prepping the company for a buy-out.
The board recently put £300k of their own money into buying shares at full price on the open market, so I'd say they probably wouldn't have done that if they knew a fundraise was coming.
What Mkango/Maginito are hoping to set up will take enormous sums of money, time and expertise.
They can either go it alone, with massive debt, fundraising and dilution, or they can partner up with someone like CoTec. The board have made a very smart decision to do the latter.
CoTec are in this to make money, but they will only make money if we all do.
That is surely a sign that MKA have something special.
Everything is on track and looking good. The currently risk-off market might want a bit more visibility on the revenues before we see a re-rate in the share price, but all MKA can do is put down the best building blocks to ensure future success.