RE: Good News29 Jan 2026 18:25
I've had to do a new AI input with 200m tonnes storage š whichever way you look at it our CCS project is worth in the BILLIONS š± Note the last paragraph about official certification commanding top tier pricing š²
"A carbon project with 200 million tonnes (Mt) of storage capacity represents a large-scale, industrial-grade operation (such as Carbon Capture and Storage/CCS or massive Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage/BECCS). The total value depends on whether it is evaluated based on storage cost (expense to build), regulatory incentives (revenue), or voluntary market credit prices (revenue).Ā
Based on 2025ā2026 data, a 200Mt storage project has a potential valuation ranging from $10 billion to over $100 billion in total lifetime revenue or investment capital.Ā Valuation Drivers (Total Value = 200Mt \(\times \) Price per Ton)Ā Policy/Compliance Storage Rates ($10ā$100+ per ton): If operating in jurisdictions like the US (45Q tax credits) or the UK, storage can be worth roughly $50/tonne for geological storage, potentially valuing a 200Mt project at $10 billion in direct incentives.High-Durability Removal Credits ($100ā$500+ per ton): If the project is a Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) project (e.g., BECCS or DAC) providing permanent storage, the carbon credits can command premium prices. At a conservative $200/tonne, 200Mt is worth $40 billion.Total Project Capital Expenditure (CapEx): Large-scale CCS projects can have high capital costs. For example, some studies suggest total costs across the value chain (capture, transport, storage) can be in the $100ā$250/tonne range.Ā
Key Scenarios for ValueĀ Industrial CCS (Medium Value): If the 200Mt is captured from industrial exhaust and stored, it is likely worth $10ā$20 billion (based on 45Q rates of $50ā$85/tonne for storage or enhanced oil recovery).Engineered Removal/DACCS (Highest Value): If the 200Mt is removed directly from the atmosphere (Direct Air Capture), high-integrity credits can exceed $300ā$500/tonne.
A 200Mt project in this scenario could be worth over $60ā$100 billion over its lifetime.Nature-Based/Storage Hybrid (Lower Value): If it involves biochar or enhanced weathering, prices may range between $90ā$300 per tonne, making it a $18ā$60 billion project.Ā Crucial Factors Affecting WorthĀ Permanence:
Storage that guarantees permanence for 1,000+ years attracts much higher prices ($300-$500+ per ton) than projects with shorter-term storage risks.Location/Regulation: Projects in the US benefit from 45Q ($180/t for DAC, $85/t for industrial).
European ETS prices (around ā¬70-ā¬80/tonne in 2025) also drive high values.
Verification: Third-party certification (e.g., ISO standards) is essential to achieve top-tier pricing".Ā