RE: New export system29 Nov 2019 19:28
Of course it is Mclean. BS just can't help himself. Scorpion's gotta sting and all that......But here's the (real) thing: first half of 2020, first half of the century, it matters less and less. The pipeline and the fso are fully funded and are now fully on track to deliver a engineering solution to Eroton's O&G business - guaranteed to significantly improve cash flow before ANY new drilling - which is going to happen. Period. This isn't in dispute, and because it is largely independent of outside factors, the principals (and the market if it cared to listen) can very safely assume now that if there are any delays going forward, they will very likely be technical in nature and therefore of little consequence to the value of the asset or the company at present. Now that may not be enough in this appalling market [note: this is where being smarter than a chicken definitely comes in handy], but because there is so much imbedded value in sle's share price - with a material portion of that value in cash and cash receivables - the imminence of the new evacuation infrastructure (and new drilling don't forget) is so dramatically increasing the value of the overall OML18 asset at the same time, that the incentives to leverage and ultimately realise that cascade of value are becoming irresistible. In the meantime I think that, while the drifting share price is painfully frustrating, this buyback period is not only helping a year-end tax loss/margin-pressured seller to reduce efficiently, but it is also allowing a smart buyer or buyers to build a position outside the company's buying.