Member Info for Bluelight

Europe probably wont lockdown, barring regional lockdowns for flare ups. the main worry is the US. They've not taken it seriously, even now. trumps encouraged a lazy attitude about it all and now americans are paying the price. No country in the world will want americans travelling to them when they have 2.5m cases and growing rapidly. America should do a complete lockdown, and actually enforce it this time. However what they should do, and what they actually do are rarely the same, hence the mess they are in. Don't get me started on their market valuation, its the bubble of all bubbles and I wouldn't go near it if you paid me to.

I don't think it will be a last resort. Why wouldn't they do it? Sentiment in the sector is poor, they can get cash in the door and help to weather the storm. It's not even particularly a bad thing, it makes sense. It's one of the cheapest ways for them to raise cash. I was 50/50 whether they would or not, but now it seems pretty much all airlines are doing it, so i expect they will do the same. Wouldn't expect much of an impact, say c5% off the share price. But still why buy before something occurs that you think will drop the price, makes no sense to me. I will buy, but only after.

Also worth bearing in mind that it now looks pretty much nailed on they will do a rights issue, as alot of other airlines are doing right now (including EZJ today). It's a buy, but only after they've raised more funds.

Give it time. The US haven't woken up yet, and everyday their situation gets worse, and gets ignored. I'm expecting their market to crash in the near term. Only after that occurs will anything be worth a punt.

Just imagine that, you get tested go to the gate and security pulls you and your family aside with the results. No chance most of us will go through that effort and potential trauma for a holiday, not to mention how everyone will look at those that are denied boarding. Even when it reopens the vast majority of people simply wont travel abroad.

Given the US has millions of cases one could quite easily argue they should have shut everything down even sooner and for much longer, rather than get distracted by the trump show. They've utterly screwed themselves for the rest of 2020 now, and that has implications for the rest of the world too.

Seems likely the sector dropped on american airlines 2bn rights issue and debt raise. Will cause negativity across the sector

What dilution? It's one article published that's so full of 'potential' this and 'maybe' that's, to be meaningless. Main focus is air bridges and cvd developments.

People need to be patient. NCYT is always messed around in large ranges, trick is to just hold and not worry about it. It always hits the upside targets eventually, in the meantime let people mess around with it as they like.

It will close red today, it will close red on wednesday. It will start red on thursday then finish blue. It does the same every week.

Possible short, its a screaming short. Whole market is at these inflated levels.

Rainy days, what rainy days? US is up 4% on 3.3m americans losing their jobs and sharp increases in infected. Yeehah, ride em cowboy. Absolute joke of the market the US. I'd be shorting the hell out of it. Still have zero interest in anything other than defensives, and virus related companies.

Price looked controlled to me, wasn't being allowed to rise. make of that what you will, but wasn't trading freely for sure.

What the US should do in my view is put 4-5trn into hospitals, every research centre across the world, and pound the hell out of research and medical resources. Would have it sorted in weeks not months, and then the economies can recover much more rapidly. Not this zombie company approach they are taking. But they wont because all the Americans care about is money, even over peoples lives.

US only 8% up now... That 5% chance looks to be increasing I'd say

China produces to export, but who is going to buy if their industries are offline. Lockdown may well work, but its still going to be months of virtually no economic output globally. And thats assuming you don't get second waves of it, which Im sure we will in many countries. Of course theres extra optimism on the stimulus, and Ive made a nice sum day trading a range of stocks today. However realistically it's a sell the rallies now, and a 10% rally to me just means an even sharper drop to come.

US currently 10% up. I'm going to throw in my prediction of it closing red tonight, big call I know. You can't stimulate a dead economy, no matter the trillions you throw at it. Let it crash, then plateau and recover. This obsession with supporting the stock market at these highs is madness to me, and will ultimately fail.

More realistic is market tanks on stimulus details, and people realise we are still in the middle of a pandemic with no business or companies open for months at least. Love a bit of optimism for day trading, but gees, this market is in for one hell of a kicking when the US realises their stimulus is doomed to fail.

I don't get the US obsession with trying to support stock markets. I's doomed to fail. No companies other than supermarkets, and pharmas are making any money at all. Better to let markets crash down to reflect the reality, support their loans etc then let them recover. It's death by a thousand cuts right now, with most people waiting for the inevitable crash.

Impossible to put in large buys when you're just waiting for the US to follow the rest of the world and tank. Lets get it done already then we can all load up and hold.