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So sad to see LTI’s continuing to make excuses for every failed promise with assertions that the next RNS will be the big one. As I said just the other day (and got derided for it) DA will dilute SAV out of sight. The MC may become MUCH bigger but the SP is going nowhere. Some trading opportunities on potential future spikes here, but there’s no long term multibag to be had. If you’re not sitting on free shares or looking to trade on spikes, look elsewhere for growth. This isn’t even a Jam Tomorrow story anymore.
W/o the pandemic, how much have we clocked up in lost dividends now, assuming previous forecasts had been met? Not sure that LLOY has lost enough revenue in the last 12 months to justify the current c25% fall in SP and the SP recovery compares poorly to other bankers. thinking there must be a bit of a pent up divi pot ready for announcement?
“Fairly muted response to yesterday’s RNS but the coming weeks will hopefully see lightbulbs switching...” These words have been used after pretty much every RNS for the last 5 years. By the time SAV is actually delivering something the share will have been diluted out of sight. It looks like DA might actually deliver something here in a year or two, but the SP will be just the same. By then all the talk will be about how there’s divided payments just around the corner. Unless you’re enjoying a free ride here you need to get out or start trading, and ignore the eternal optimists.
Some boards really need a lot of members filtering from your chat feed, don’t they? Is stockready only talking to, and recommending, his various aliases yet? This board really does entertain.
80 working days would make it early May. Then allow for the inevitable delays. H2 before it arrives.
Skindle: good exchange of views you started there - nice work, thanks.
Anapa: another one filtered.
Bowl tipped in Daily Mail today. Expect some buying demand this week.
Worth noting that the in house broker’s latest note includes a SP forecast of 10p by year end. That’s a fall from a previous broker forecast of 40p (if I remember rightly, some time ago) to 20p (during the last year I think). If your own broker is revising down like that, it should ring a bell. I’m sat out for now waiting for a 4p entry but I accept I could miss the boat. The risk of a buyout below 12p shouldn’t be ignored imo. Averaging down might therefore be an option for two reasons.
No problem, CM. I don’t think my post on the LLOY board was rampy though. Amidst the absolute tosh written on that board someone asked for some AIM ideas to look into for a bit of fun, and I suggested SAV as just that - a punt with ‘potential’ to multi-bag. It’s also more fun for me now with crystallised gains and the option to come back in at the right price. I do respect your view and you post some good info, but we have different views at the moment about the likely size and timing of SAV’s trajectory. After 5 years of over promise / under deliver I’m happy with where I’m at today and continue to watch SAV. Good luck and keep posting.
Thank you to CM for stalking my posting history elsewhere on LSE and digging up another post I’ve published which highlights SAV as being a fun stock to ‘play’ with and ‘worth a punt’ for a potential multibagger. As I said, I’ve been 100% consistently right about SAV, and transparent. You guys do know that intelligent people can see you’ve lost your argument when you resort to abuse? Anyone researching here will see two perspectives: a realistic one from me with a solid history of correct forecasts, and a fantasy perspective from those claiming to hold millions of shares, who continually promise 6p, 8p, 20p and even £1 over their investing horizon.
The reality is that some on here have lost literally tens of thousands in recent weeks whilst ramping the share and criticising my caution.
I think my expectations of a new entry price of sub-4p may arrive by the end of the week. My assessment here has been consistently correct and anything under 4p may be worth a punt. But I wouldn’t hold your breath for some of the crazy ramped-up dreams of the fantasy shareholders on here - DYOR!
SP now down about 25% from recent peak, and is following historical SAV trends. Think 4p is probably the get-in price, despite what any serial rampers and fantasy shareholders say on this board. I guess that’s par for the course with aim stocks but patience should reward anyone who wants a 4p entry point.
I only check in here occasionally, and only for the lols when I’m bored. Possibly the most irrelevant drivel on any BB is found here - really not worth engaging with. But I can’t let that comment from Falkland go: “ This bl00dy virus has hit the whole world, Britain has done better Than most of other countries” TBH I can’t think of a single country that has done worse on any measure!! We’ve made an absolute kn4cker of every single thing.
With consolidated gains I could pick up some freebies and let them ride risk-free now. Maybe mop up some of Osaka’s 6m+ fantasy shares ;)
Recent SP performance has followed the five year trend of dropping back after news spikes and I feel there’s further to go until the next meaningful news. I think the real game changers will be a partnership deal with an auto-maker and a plausible mining start date with non-dilutive funds. DFS and EIA won’t add anything to SP.
Nearly 20% below my get out price and sitting on cash. Wonder where the next get back in price will be...? Might just come back.
Yes, I’ve noted similar gains in BCN, ALB and SQM, so fair point re; possible group think about getting ahead of the curve. But all at different stages with different levels of investment risk, so not conclusive. Some impact relative to main indices, perhaps - rising tides floating all boats and all that. However, is SAV is now basically tracking the market it’d be a good indicator that ‘the market’ sees an increasingly diminishing risk in SAV, rather than pricing it singularly on its own risks. A good thing. I’ll be interested to see if that’s maintained over the next month or so. If an RNS with real news arrives (EIA sign off, offtake deal) in that period, we’ll see a fantastic rise, but if not I think there’s a possibility of losing some recent gains.
ATD; Ive been here for over 5 years (as you pretty much have if I’m not mistaken) and have seen so many missed deadlines, priority changes and jam tomorrow prospects fall by the wayside. All LTH’s have had plenty to criticise. So being above water again at last gives me no incentive to start deramping. It remains the case that no real SP enhancing news has underpinned the recent rise, though, just an increase in speculation and rumour. Hence my question. No ulterior motives here, and never had been - I don’t hold the view that BB warriors can affect the SP.
I keep one or two AIM stocks for a bit of fun/gamble in my portfolio, but generally only for a year at most. SAV has been an unhealthy predilection for far too long...
Woteva. I see you. You profess to having over 6 million shares here and over £120k profit, yet this is the only BB you comment on, and then only to ramp and make ad hominem attacks on anyone with any negative comments. In my book that makes you a fantasist, a blagger or desperately under water, so I don’t take your thoughts into account anyway.
Who said anything about basing a decision on what a bulletin board says? BB’s are for sharing views, pro’s & con’s and research etc. With that in mind, I’m interested to hear where other people are at in their thinking. I’m sorry to have triggered you...