RE: Report on AGM25 Jul 2025 09:27
OK here are my hastily assembled notes - above all though is the evident confidence, relaxed assurance of board and absolute conviction they’ve turned the corner. They won’t relax focus on revenue ASAP to ensure independence/survival - clearly increasing off-takes and no of drills/wells is key to ramping up revenues - hints of more news soon in later chats - facts are what will drive SP which they see as key to ensure their future
Local rig/contractor is their preferred option but tender process will ensure reasonable pricing and performance - esp. given 12? more drills in future
3.45Tcf is now base case
Field potential of 280mmscf/day for 20+ years
Largest on-shore Gas field in E Africa - then TM or RA said “in. Sub-Saharan Africa”!
More off-takers sought to increase gas sales/use from well head
CH1 drill before pipeline completed ie before July 26
CPR - not till after CH1 drill and maybe not for year or two after that
Why 12 months for pipeline?
Gas prise in GSA is confidential BUT has inflation clause, condensates and industrial off-take priced differently (higher?)
Condensate is ~15% of field value?
First gas sales 1 month after 1 month of testing (2 months after pipeline completed)
$1?5M run/burn rate per annum - $1.5M left of $3M loan
More off-takers will require more well head equipment
Has has 3% CO2 and slight moisture so needs drying before pipeline to avoid carbonic acid forming corroding pipeline (simple mild steel so cheap, quick, simple to lay)
ARA have been reliable, supportive partner and have not let them down
TPDC back in limited to 15%
Someone at TPDC said publicly 8 mths to lay pipeline - wouldn’t be surprised - maybe that person is closer to Chinese contractor/project mgr - or just shorting his mouth off!?
TM - won’t drill deeper/into Jurassic in current planned phases - signs weren’t strong of “active or “live?” - priority is gas and $ ASAP
CS was UN mediator on massive pipeline (Turkmenistan to Afghanistan?)
CS now has no worries keeping him awake at night - convinced sea change in Tanz. govt towards foreign investment means they realise they have to allow hard currency out, other inward investment will stop - politicians want demonstrable delivery and benefits asap to ensure their popularity
New auditors Baker Tilley
New Shard report expected soon? Will include condensates and more on off takes?