IC15 Jul 2015 13:24
Investors have been warming to the company in recent weeks and Tuesday's acquisition of remote online gaming operator Roxy Palace for £8.4m can only be supportive of the investment case. The consideration is being satisfied by issuing 10m new 32Red shares at 64p each, or 10.6 per cent of the enlarged share capital, and £2m in cash from 32Red's net funds of £7m at the end of 2014. The new shares being issued have a 12-month lock-in.
Roxy generated cash profit of £1.6m on gaming revenue of £10.1m in 2014, so the exit multiple is a reasonable five times cash profits. Moreover, as 32Red's chief executive Ed Ware rightly points out the acquisition fits well with his company's regulated markets growth strategy and will allow the business to leverage the expertise that the Roxy team has built up over many years in international markets to the combined benefit of the enlarged business. Synergy benefits and cost savings are likely to be significant through the cooperative marketing of both company's brands across a number of territories.
In fact, analyst Ivor Jones at house broker Numis Securities believes that the net cash profit contribution from the acquisition will be £500,000 in the 2015 fiscal year, rising to £2.5m in 2016 (calendar year-end). On that basis, and after adjusting for the impact of the UK Point of Consumption duty, Numis forecasts that 32Red will deliver pre-tax profit of £5.1m and EPS of 5.9p in the current financial year on revenue of £42.5m, rising to £8m and 8.8p, respectively, on revenue of £55.4m in 2016. That represents a thumping 28 per cent upgrade on Numis's previous 2016 EPS estimate and is enough to warrant Mr Jones revising his target price on the shares up by a third to 120p.
On the basis that the shares are currently being rated on only 10 times fiscal 2015 cash-adjusted earnings, falling to seven times 2016's likely cash adjusted earnings, I can see ample scope for the re-rating to continue especially as 32Red is proving to be a highly profitable operator in the new regulative regime. It's also worth noting that Mr Jones expects 32Red's board to declare a dividend per share of 2.5p this year and 2.75p in 2016, so the prospective dividend yields are 3.7 per cent and 4.1 per cent, respectively.
Trading on a bid-offer spread of 66p to 67.5p, I rate 32Red's shares a decent buy and have an upgraded target price range of 90p ahead of the company's first-half trading update on Wednesday, 22 July.