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Manifesto
“ They are clearly not done, so they must believe ”
Please explain. How do you know they are not done?
It’s not clear to me. I don’t wish to appear confrontational, I was just wondering if you had any real insight. Or if this was more baseless ramping.
Thanks.
Apollo should take advantage of the next 4 months. Build up a 4.99% stake. Then on 16 September, buy more to take them over the threshold. And launch a hostile bid. The 65% would fold like a garden chair.
Apollo had its people camped out in Manchester for weeks. They made an offer, them made an improved offer. They are not the kind of outfit that gives up easily. Just because MM thwarted their approach, doesn't mean they wont be back in September.
As I said yesterday (everyone else likes repeating themselves), Apollo should sit on the bid and spend the next few months building a stake of 4.99%, undeclared. Do it slowly and stealthily without moving the price, Then on the day of the GS expiry, launch a full hostile bid for the company. Having bought a chunk extremely cheaply.
I agree about KELSO, if they bought CFDs (leveraged) higher up, thyere now in trouble.
They got great publicity, especially while Apollo were in play, but theyve had their day. Theyve got no fresh input.
Apollo should buy in the market, they're allowed to. Spend the next 4 months building up a 4.99% stake.
Then the day the GS expires, go over the 5% threshold and launch a hostile bid.
They could afford to bid up, having bought 5% very cheaply. I'm sur some of the (alleged) 65% would jump ship.
They have 4 months, they could sit on the bid and accumulate stealthily without moving the price.
The Liberium not came out last month. Not today!
Also, I think we should discard Liberium:
https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/977638/thg-worth-700p-says-liberum-but-few-others-agree-977638.html
We all know the GS is going in September.
Nearly everyone on here mentions it as a reason to buy the shares at this level.
Do we really think that the sp will languish around these levels, then come September, it will suddenly pop and a queue of buyers will suddenly appear?
MM, at the moment has the best of all worlds.
He runs it as a private company, and has all the advantages of a public company. If he performs badly, he distorts the truth and points the blame at the city or the press.
He's currently invincible, he has staff, GS, IIs, QIA all on his side.
As PIs, im afraid we are stuck until something gives.