RE: Down to the wire22 Dec 2020 14:44
Hi @Sarah, generally we don't know what AP and Vast is planning and we don't how the conversations/negotiations with the bank are proceeding.
We do have a problem with how high Vast's SP can rise and I have laid out below:
1. Vast have 20.98 billion shares outstanding and the current market cap is £26.85 million
2. As per the RNS on 7th September titled "Baita Plai Project Production and Operational Cash Flow & Baita Plai General Mine Update" the estimated/forecasted net revenue will be $41,797,975 by the end of Oct 2020 (after all the costs/expenses from Baita we will have $22,609,915 by end of Oct 2020)
3. Note the estimates are in dollars and the current market cap in pounds so at the current foreign exchange rate from usd to gbp it will be £31,222,460.36 (£31.22 million)
4. So it looks like the current SP is not too far off the net revenue from Baita by end of Oct 2020.
Let's look at Vast's other assets
5. We know Vast has "Zagra" which is non producing and as per AP we will need a major player as this is out of our league to bring this mine to production
6. We know we have 29.41% interest in Blueberry Gold asset and as per AP this will be a joint venture with someone and a separate IPO (Vast will manage this asset and its production as per AP)
7. We know we have Manaila where there could be further production but require investment as the flotation plant is very far (I can't remember the exact distance) and it took up 30% of the costs as per AP
8. And finally we know we have Zimbabwe (diamonds) which is also non producing.
9. In summary, we have only Baita in production.
Do you see my thoughts (of course my analysis could be totally wrong and I hope it is :) for the sake of the shareholders)? I am heavily invested and long on Vast. Let's see where we go. In the next few days things will become clear for good or for worse.