Research note25 Apr 2019 14:51
IF this research note is even close, this would be a 15 bagger. Thatβs a really big if. But itβs worth holding some for sure as the potential gains are so spectacular.
Our valuation for Wishbone is thus Β£31.46 million, which equates to 1.47p based on the number of shares currently in issue (2,144,831,466). Our target price however has been calculated on a fully diluted basis (2,647,913,609 shares) dividing the valuation by the sum of the total number of shares and warrants expected to be in issue by the year-end, plus the 240 million shares that will result from the payment of the deferred consideration for PMI and Black Sands. On a fully diluted basis this results in a per share valuation of 1.19p.
https://www.rns-pdf.londonstockexchange.com/rns/7326H_1-2018-11-19.pdf
βAs the gold trading business is being ramped up and the off-take contracts begin to bear fruit, we expect there should be good news flow over the next eighteen months. Each and every deal in supplying mining equipment brings a long-term off-take agreement, providing a guaranteed additional supply of gold at an attractive discount to the current gold price. This has the potential to create a growing, highly visible stream of earnings for the company stretching well into the future.
In this way, each of these deals will add value as the strategy is rolled out in a number of countries. We have refined our model based on the improved understanding we have gained over the past twelve months concerning the capital and operating costs as well as the likely levels of production. What has become apparent over this period is managementβs desire to become involved in larger scheme involving a setting up a central gold refining facility that is fed by a series of satellite mills. This looks like an exciting development however, at this stage, we have modelled a growing operation that looks more achievable by Wishbone as it stands today. We look forward to revisiting our valuation once more detailed plans become put in place.
For a further element of conservatism in our forecasts and as the company rehabilitates itself with investors after a difficult 2018, we update our coverage of Wishbone Gold with a renewed Conviction Buy stance and price target based on 8 times 2020 profits (0.0736p per share β based on a GBP/USD FX rate of 1.29) giving a first price target of 0.589p. The DCF value of 1.19p gives investors an idea of the medium-term upside potential as the companyβs strategy gains traction.