Nice write up. Balanced31 Oct 2022 16:12
While Vast recorded a wider loss in the 12 months to 30 April 2022, the vast majority of the increase was attributable to forex movements. Mill feed at the company's flagship Baita Plai asset in Romania more than doubled during the referenced period from 14,452 tonnes/year to 38,108 tonnes/year. Since 30 April, Vast has continued to implement a full transition to mechanised mining at Baita Plai, responsible for most of the YTD production gains at the site.
In 3Q22, Vast recorded a 20% increase in production from Baita Plai. Due to utilisation of two Mantis CMR4 Jumbo rigs, September was the most successful month of underground production at the site. The mine produced 7,900 tonnes of ore, accounting for 50% of production in 3Q22. 4Q22 saw a further increase, with current prepared accessible underground ore at c. 290,000 tonnes.
The trend is expected to continue following the transition to mechanised mining, utilising Long Hole Stope methodology. The completion of Spiral number 3 will further increase the volume of production at Baita Plai from Q2 2023.
Additionally, Vast's 24.5%-owned Takob polymetallic JV in Tajikistan was recently boosted by an exclusive offtake agreement with Trafigura, a major Singapore-based commodity trading company. And in Zimbabwe, Vast expects to conclude its mining agreement with the Zimbabwe Consolidated Diamond Company regarding the right to mine diamonds in the country.
Overall, the economic fundamentals for Vast's polymetallic business remain strong. Increased demand for copper and tightness in supply have significantly lifted copper prices. The forecast global growth in EVs will keep pressure on supply over the next decade, exacerbated by declining grades, water supply issues, and community resistance. Demand for other critical metals used in renewable tech will follow a similar trajectory.
Vast's bullish outlook on polymetallics is therefore justified. Moreover, a continued reduction in Romanian and Zimbabwean country risk premiums has the potential to provide significant medium-term growth for the company. In both countries, Vast holds further mining claims and other interests, which are under appraisal.
Today's placing ensures Vast's operations continue to be supported over the coming months.