Golden October9 Oct 2024 20:58
No good moaning about FID in Q4 anymore, the runes have already been played out.
Production licence PL032, which contains the Sea Lion oil field, expires on 31 October 2024; this is just a matter of fact. It will have to be extended for the 35 years needed to develop, produce and decommission the field, on 1 Nov 2024. According to the company and the operator Navitas the licence extension application is in hand, OK so far?
You are not going to get a licence extension without proof of funding to meet commitments. At this stage of the game, the commitment is field development, not seismic surveys or seabird studies, that has all been done.
So, the next few weeks will be hectic for success.
1.No hope of funding unless FIG approve the Field Development Plan
2. No hope of funding without an approved Environmental Impact Study
3. No hope of funding without a letter of comfort from FIG that they won’t change the rules
4. No hope of a licence extension without funding
It’s either an interconnected virtuous circle to success, or a death spiral, no other outcome, and there are 16 working days left.
I am predicting a RNS on Thursday 31 October 2024, that Navitas has secured the funding in principle, subject to some DD and the production licence has been extended.
If I am wrong, we’ve all lost our investment. It’s as simple as that.
If you believe in it, then it’s time to put your money where your mouth is. If you don’t, then you must be Kier Starmer’s uncle who apparently was torpedoed by HMS Conqueror.