I think there is impending chaos ahead.14 Apr 2025 20:38
I think there is impending chaos ahead.
Firstly, the offer is non-binding, conditional, and not final. Wait for Thursday for that. Or indeed a Sidara walk away instead.
Secondly, an agitated institutional shareholder with 5% could requisition the Board to hold a general meeting to block the deal or sack the Board and replace them with nominees.
Thirdly, the Board envisages a Court sanctioned Scheme of Arrangement for the takeover. The Commercial Court tends to uphold shareholders’ interests, if it thinks they have been deceived.
Fourthly, it is not beyond possibility that the SNP administration in Edinburgh decide to nationalise the company. They have track record with Scotrail, Ferguson Shipyard, Prestwick Airport. And they have this Scottish Investment Bank looking for a Big Win to justify its existence. It would only cost the price of a ferry, after all!
Fifthly, there are private equity vultures out there who could make a killing.
Sir Ian Wood could buy it back from his personal fortune, for not much more than he spent on a ten storey car park at Aberdeen Royal Infirmary. He must be fuming so much that the local air temperature in Rubislaw Den South is contributing to climate change.