Share price3 Sep 2025 10:38
Among other valuation methodologies, the share price of a company effectively represents the value of its assets minus its liabilities, divided by the number of shares in issue. So when we talk about an increase in the share price, it has to be assumed that this is a result of a proportionate increase in this value. Thus, to talk about a share price of, say 20.5p (i.e ca 50% up on today's sp) - being the placement price earlier this year - I assume shareholders realise that this will rely on a corresponding increase of ca 50% in the value of TXP's net assets. Is this going to happen anytime soon? The answer is no, although triggering the higher priced gas contracts will help. Thus, my gut tells me that, absent outstanding news about the wells, the sp will only climb gradually over the next 12 months or so, with ca 35p being projected by analysts in that period. Even then, this would represent a 126% increase from the current 15.25p suggesting that the value of TXP's assets minus liabilities has increased in parallel. That, frankly seems like a big ask, although I will be more than happy for that to happen. Meanwhile, I will restrict my celebrations to a 1p by 1p increase.