Total equity10 May 2023 07:39
The balance sheet carries around $4bln in total asset and around $4bln in total liabilities. I assume the total asset accounts for the estimate value of the gas in reserve. The total equity (total assets minus total liabilities) is around nil. I consider that the cash flow in the coming years will come from the sale of the natural gas in reserve, which is no more than $4bln in value and I factor in the cost of debt, repayment of debt, operating costs and so on. I am ignoring the contribution to the cash flow of ancillary operations such as, third party well plugging, solar farms, etc. Where is the value left for the shareholders in a company that relies merely on the sale of its 'inventory'? It baffles me that the dividend payout is so high, is it sustainable? If my assumptions are correct, the company would run out of gas and plug all their wells before they will have repaid their debt.
By comparison, Shell PLC has around £200bln equity, which is in line with its market cap. Is Shell PLC in a better place than DEC, why would I invest in DEC rather than Shell if I was to hold with a long term view?
(Disclaimer: I have a small position in DEC already. Disclaimer 2: I apologize in advance if my post is not the clearest, English is not my fist language)