RE: Car industry facing a very uncertain time26 Oct 2021 21:29
completelynew, I think some of your reasons for selling are overblown.
The shortages in the motor industry shouldn't affect the lower volume premium models as much as the higher volume models.
Setting up a new production line dose carry some risks but we have an experienced BOD, a facility that was chosen for the purpose of expansion, the knowledge gained from installing OEM cell one and the small production cell from the previous factory.
We are loss making at the moment but revenues should not be as far off as you suggest, although the OEM8 start of production has been pushed back from Q4 to Q1 2022 pre production orders are expected this year and to be profitable next year.
Your concerns about Brexit have been the subject of many questions to the BOD over the past couple of years, much of the prospective pipeline is for the American market, the European market is not expected to be a problem but they have the option of a warehouse facility at their German office to store brakes in advance of distribution if necessary.
Delays in start of production dates are normal at the best of times, these delays are nothing to do with Surface Transforms and the thought that it might give the competition a chance to win the contract back are misguided, it will of taken a huge amount of time to engineer our brakes into these future models so they won't want to change supplier once the hard work has been done.
Regarding energy costs an investor on another forum e-mailed ST and was told that gas hedges are in place for the next 18 months and that a tripling of the price would only reduce GM by 1-2%.
No doubt there will be competitors coming to the market but as Kevin Johnson said in a recent presentation there are no credible alternatives as yet, once there are it would take at least 5 years to be accepted by global OEMs. We started testing with global OEMs about 8 years ago, this after years of road miles on the race track and a few speciality sports cars.