PLEASE DYOR28 Jan 2026 20:01
Tomorrow’s earnings report covers Q3 FY2026 (quarter ending December 31, 2025) for Wizz Air Holdings Plc (WIZZ.L). Here’s a comparison of the current analyst consensus estimates for Q3 FY2026 against the actual results from Q3 FY2025 (quarter ending December 31, 2024, reported on January 30, 2025).
Key Metrics Comparison
• Revenue
◦ Q3 FY2025 actual: €1,177 million (up 11% YoY at the time, driven by strong demand, higher load factor of 90.3%, and record 15.5 million passengers carried).
◦ Q3 FY2026 consensus: Approximately €1.3 billion (range ~€1.26–1.36 billion).
◦ Implication: Consensus points to continued revenue growth of roughly 10–15% YoY, reflecting expectations of capacity expansion, stable or improving pricing (RASK trends), and recovery from prior operational issues like engine groundings.
• EPS (Earnings Per Share)
◦ Q3 FY2025 actual: -€1.57 (or similar large negative figure; the quarter posted a significant net loss of around €241 million, typical for the seasonally weak winter period, exacerbated by fleet groundings, higher costs, and FX impacts).
◦ Q3 FY2026 consensus: Approximately -€0.67 (range ~ -€0.59 to -€0.82).
◦ Implication: Analysts expect a meaningfully narrower loss YoY (improvement of ~57% in EPS terms), likely due to better cost control, lower fuel prices in some periods, operational efficiencies, fewer disruptions, and stronger underlying demand/pricing.
Additional Context
Q3 is historically a loss-making quarter for low-cost carriers like Wizz Air due to lower winter demand in Europe. The YoY improvement in consensus reflects optimism around ongoing fleet recovery (fewer grounded aircraft compared to prior years), capacity growth resuming, and structural cost improvements despite persistent challenges like inflation and supply chain issues.
These figures are synthesized from analyst aggregates (e.g., via sources like Investing.com, Yahoo Finance, and company IR materials). Actual Q3 FY2026 results (releasing tomorrow before market open) could differ based on final capacity utilization, fuel hedging outcomes, and any late geopolitical or operational factors. Market reaction will hinge on how results compare to these expectations, along with any updated full-year FY2026 guidance.
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