RE: Interview with Zenith Energy’s CEO Andrea Cattaneo18 Mar 2026 11:06
FS FORUM
Just had a read through the analyst group’s latest interview with AC and I’m now more confident than ever. It’s very clear this year is about delivery, not plans, and you can see that in the level of detail he’s giving.
The arbitration is now exactly where you’d want it. Final submission was done back in September, hearings are fixed for April, and they’ve brought in heavyweight counsel across the board. That’s a properly built case going into the final hearing, not something being rushed together. He’s also not trying to overpromise on timing, just saying late 2026 is realistic. That comes across as controlled rather than speculative.
Important point he made as well is what the April hearing actually is. It’s the full case being argued in person, witnesses, experts, everything. After that it’s down to tribunal deliberation. So from here it’s about how well the case is presented, not whether they’ve done the work, because that part is already finished.
At the same time, the rest of the business isn’t standing still. Solar is moving from development into something much more tangible. The portfolio is now around 163.5 MWp and heading towards 200 MWp this year, but more importantly they’re pushing assets through RTB and into construction. The first 7 MWp in Puglia is already in construction-phase activity with a July target. That’s a real shift from pipeline to execution.
The valuation angle on solar is being missed by a lot of people. €27.5m was already assigned to 110.5 MWp at RTB back in December, and the portfolio is now larger with an updated valuation on the way. That gives you a clear reference point for how these assets are being priced before they’re even built.
Gas and uranium are being handled sensibly. Sant’Andrea gives them actual production exposure, uranium is progressing through VIA and sits as longer-term upside as Europe takes that sector more seriously. Neither is being pushed too hard, but both add to the overall picture.
The main takeaway for me is how everything is lining up at the same time. Arbitration in final phase, solar moving into build, portfolio still expanding, and additional assets progressing in the background. It’s not dependent on one outcome, there are several things that can move the valuation.
When you put that against the current market cap it still feels disconnected. You’ve got a $572.65m claim going into final hearings, a growing solar platform with independent valuation support, and other assets alongside it. If they execute as outlined, I don’t see this staying at these levels for long.
We’re around 1 NOK now, which matched my previous estimation of 1 NOK going into the arbitration court case. I believe we have 2 NOK pinned leading into the results. Let’s see if I’m right again.